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Demand drops to 40-45, the lowest non-summer levels, opening a four-to-six-week value stretch for medina-immersion travelers. Daytime highs stay at 24°C, comfortable for medina walking and the souks, though evenings turn cool enough to want a layer. Rates settle 30-50% below spring equivalents and Ultra-tier riads (Riad BE, Le Riad Yasmine) show genuine availability inside two weeks. No major events compete for inventory until Easter approaches in late March, with availability holding steady across all sub-regions.

March is the wettest month on the Marrakech calendar (9 rain days versus the usual 2-3), and demand reaches 65 even with the weather caveat. Temperatures hold at 23°C, with light layers covering daytime walking and rooftop pools staying too cool to use until April. Pre-Easter pressure pushes some Ultra-tier rooms tight; book three weeks out for Riad BE or El Fenn. The Atlas snow melt feeds the rivers around Setti Fatma, a worthwhile day trip if the showers cooperate.

April flips the rain pattern (three days of showers versus March''s nine) and pushes demand to 70 as Europe''s school holidays land. Easter week is the tightest single window outside December and Ultra-tier riads typically need four to six weeks of lead time. Highs jump to 29°C, with shade mattering from early afternoon and souk shopping moving to morning or covered routes. Ramadan shifts annually; when it overlaps April, restaurants run reduced daytime hours but hotels stay fully open.

May is the heat-tolerance pivot, with 31°C highs, zero rain days, and demand sliding to 55 as European school terms resume and Easter pricing recedes. For travelers who can handle direct sun by 11am, this is the sharpest value-for-experience window on the calendar. Riad courtyards and plunge pools shift from amenity to necessity, with rooftop access deciding which property stays usable past midday. Late-May rates typically dip below April equivalents for the same property; book direct rather than through OTAs to capture the discount.

July hits 40°C and August 39°C, making the medina thermally hostile from 10am to 6pm, with demand collapsing to 15-20 at the floor. Properties that show sold-out from October through April (Riad BE, El Fenn, La Sultana) show wide-open availability across these three months. The medina''s thick walls, internal courtyards and rooftop pools were engineered for exactly this climate; properties without those features become unusable.

September drops the temperature five degrees from August to a 34°C high, still hot but the shift registers in late afternoons and evenings. Demand more than doubles to 35 as European travelers return, but autumn pricing hasn''t kicked in yet, leaving same-property October rates noticeably higher than September equivalents. The Hivernage pool circuit reopens fully and Atlas day trips work without dawn-or-dusk bracketing constraints, restoring the full range of Marrakech daytime options. Two weeks of lead time still gets Ultra-tier rooms before the 1-54 Festival rush in October starts compressing the calendar.

October rebuilds the calendar: demand jumps to 80, temperatures hit 28°C, and the 1-54 Festival pulls art-world bookings into Hivernage and the Palmeraie for two weeks. Rain returns to nine days, matching March, so afternoon plans need a flexibility margin even though showers usually clear within hours. Ultra-tier inventory tightens on festival weekends; book six weeks ahead minimum, longer if you need a Hivernage or central-medina address. Late October stabilizes the weather window: warm, dry by month-end, mosquitoes gone, and just before the autumn pricing peak.

November is the data anomaly, with demand reaching 85 (the second-highest reading after December) but rates running 30-60% below spring equivalents because European school holidays don''t cover the month. Two rain days versus October''s nine, the same 28°C highs, no major festival pulling premium-rate bookings: November is October''s shadow on every dimension except price. Properties that quietly hike November rates get exposed by direct-channel availability checks; book direct for the visible price. For medina-immersion travelers, November offers the strongest quality-to-cost equation outside the December peak; book at least four weeks ahead before lockdown drains availability.

December hits demand 100, the year''s single peak, driven by New Year''s Eve and European winter-sun bookings stacking inside a tight two-week corridor. Plan four to six months ahead for Ultra-tier riads; three months is already late for Riad BE, Le Riad Yasmine or El Fenn during the NYE window. Temperatures hit a mild 22°C and rain holds to four days, making December''s weather as reliable as November''s despite the festive overhead. The week between Christmas and NYE specifically locks out, with early-December dates softer if New Year''s specifically isn''t the draw.